The 15 days when the 10-year US Treasury yield moved the most in a single day since 2014, in basis points, with bitcoin’s change over the same period. The record fall is 30 basis points, on November 10, 2022.
Data as of · Treasury par yield curve, January 2, 2014 to October 9, 2026 · bitcoin daily closes (UTC)
| Rank | Date | 10-year yield | Move | Direction | Bitcoin, same period | Bitcoin vs yield | Dated release that day | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 10, 2022 Thu | 4.12% → 3.82% | ▼ −30 bp | Fall | ▲ +10.7% | Opposite | October CPI released1 | 2022 |
| 2 | Mar 17, 2020 Tue | 0.73% → 1.02% | ▲ +29 bp | Rise | ▲ +4.2% | Same | Fed announced the Primary Dealer Credit Facility2 | 2020 |
| 3 | Jun 13, 2022 Mon | 3.15% → 3.43% | ▲ +28 bp | Rise | ▼ −22.7% | Opposite | First trading day after May CPI (Jun 10)3 | 2022 |
| 4 | Sep 28, 2022 Wed | 3.97% → 3.72% | ▼ −25 bp | Fall | ▲ +1.7% | Opposite | — | 2022 |
| 5 | Mar 10, 2023 Fri | 3.93% → 3.70% | ▼ −23 bp | Fall | ▼ −0.9% | Same | — | 2023 |
| 6 | Mar 10, 2020 Tue | 0.54% → 0.76% | ▲ +22 bp | Rise | ▼ −0.2% | Opposite | — | 2020 |
| 7 | Mar 16, 2020 Mon | 0.94% → 0.73% | ▼ −21 bp | Fall | ▼ −9.9% | Same | Day after the Fed’s Mar 15 emergency statement4 | 2020 |
| 8 | Mar 9, 2020 Mon | 0.74% → 0.54% | ▼ −20 bp | Fall | ▼ −13.1% | Same | — | 2020 |
| 8 | Mar 20, 2020 Fri | 1.12% → 0.92% | ▼ −20 bp | Fall | ▲ +0.1% | Opposite | — | 2020 |
| 10 | Nov 9, 2016 Wed | 1.88% → 2.07% | ▲ +19 bp | Rise | ▲ +1.9% | Same | — | 2016 |
| 10 | Sep 22, 2022 Thu | 3.51% → 3.70% | ▲ +19 bp | Rise | ▲ +4.7% | Same | Day after the Fed’s Sep 21 FOMC statement5 | 2022 |
| 10 | Sep 26, 2022 Mon | 3.69% → 3.88% | ▲ +19 bp | Rise | ▼ −0.4% | Opposite | — | 2022 |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2023 Tue | 4.63% → 4.44% | ▼ −19 bp | Fall | ▼ −2.6% | Same | October CPI released6 | 2023 |
| 10 | Apr 10, 2024 Wed | 4.36% → 4.55% | ▲ +19 bp | Rise | ▲ +2.1% | Same | March CPI released7 | 2024 |
| 10 | Aug 2, 2024 Fri | 3.99% → 3.80% | ▼ −19 bp | Fall | ▼ −6.0% | Same | July jobs report released8 | 2024 |
Move = the change in the Treasury’s published 10-year par yield from the previous published business day, rounded to the nearest basis point (1 bp = 0.01 percentage point).9 Ranked by size, rises and falls together; ties share a rank and are listed oldest first. Bitcoin, same period = the change in bitcoin’s daily close (UTC) between those two dates; after a weekend or holiday the period includes the days in between, and the Treasury’s yield is set in the afternoon (US Eastern) while bitcoin’s close is at 00:00 UTC, so the two windows are close but not identical.10 Same/Opposite compares the signs of the two moves. “Dated release” lists only releases and announcements confirmed on the issuing agency’s page and shows no cause: other news came out on every one of these days. Data starts January 2, 2014; bitcoin data starts September 17, 2014.
The 10-year yield is the return on a 10-year US government note, calculated daily by the Treasury from market prices; it usually moves a few basis points a day. These are the 15 days it moved 19 basis points or more, out of 3,194 changes in the data. Related: bitcoin and the 10-year Treasury yield, year by year.
The largest one-day fall in the data: the 10-year yield dropped from 4.12% to 3.82%, 30 basis points. A basis point (bp) is one hundredth of a percentage point. It was the day the Bureau of Labor Statistics released October’s consumer price index.19 Bitcoin’s close rose 10.7% over the same period, from $15,881 to $17,587.10
Of the 15 days, the yield and bitcoin’s close moved in the same direction on 9 and in opposite directions on 6; 7 were rises in the yield and 8 were falls.910 Bitcoin’s move on these days ran from −22.7% to +10.7%. These are single days, with other news the same day, so the table shows what happened rather than why.
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