The PCE price index, from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, is the inflation measure the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal is defined by.12 This ranks the 80 releases since January 2020 by the size of bitcoin’s move on release day, in the same style as the CPI and producer-price pages.
Data as of · 80 releases, Jan 31, 2020 to Sep 30, 2026 · bitcoin daily closes (UTC) from Yahoo Finance · next release Oct 29, 2026
| Rank | Release date | Month covered | PCE price index, month | Excluding food and energy | Bitcoin, release day | Bitcoin, prior → close | Bitcoin | Year | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 1, 2021 | August 2021 | ▲ +0.4% | ▲ +0.3% | ▲ +9.88% | $43,791 → $48,117 | Bitcoin up | 2021 | BEA release |
| 2 | Jun 25, 2021 | May 2021 | ▲ +0.4% | ▲ +0.5% | ▼ −8.73% | $34,662 → $31,638 | Bitcoin down | 2021 | BEA release |
| 3 | Apr 30, 2021 | March 2021 | ▲ +0.5% | ▲ +0.4% | ▲ +7.83% | $53,555 → $57,750 | Bitcoin up | 2021 | BEA release |
| 4 | May 28, 2021 | April 2021 | ▲ +0.6% | ▲ +0.7% | ▼ −7.13% | $38,437 → $35,698 | Bitcoin down | 2021 | BEA release |
| 5 | Mar 26, 2021 | February 2021 | ▲ +0.2% | ▲ +0.1% | ▲ +6.64% | $51,704 → $55,137 | Bitcoin up | 2021 | BEA release |
| 6 | Aug 26, 2022 | July 2022 | ▼ −0.1% | ▲ +0.1% | ▼ −6.21% | $21,601 → $20,260 | Bitcoin down | 2022 | BEA release |
| 7 | Jul 30, 2021 | June 2021 | ▲ +0.5% | ▲ +0.4% | ▲ +5.57% | $40,008 → $42,236 | Bitcoin up | 2021 | BEA release |
| 8 | Aug 31, 2023 | July 2023 | ▲ +0.2% | ▲ +0.2% | ▼ −5.00% | $27,297 → $25,931 | Bitcoin down | 2023 | BEA release |
| 9 | Jan 26, 2024 | December 2023 | ▲ +0.2% | ▲ +0.2% | ▲ +4.72% | $39,934 → $41,817 | Bitcoin up | 2024 | BEA release |
| 10 | Aug 27, 2021 | July 2021 | ▲ +0.4% | ▲ +0.3% | ▲ +4.51% | $46,942 → $49,059 | Bitcoin up | 2021 | BEA release |
| 11 | Dec 23, 2021 | November 2021 | ▲ +0.6% | ▲ +0.5% | ▲ +4.43% | $48,629 → $50,785 | Bitcoin up | 2021 | BEA release |
| 12 | Nov 27, 2024 | October 2024 | ▲ +0.2% | ▲ +0.3% | ▲ +4.32% | $91,985 → $95,963 | Bitcoin up | 2024 | BEA release |
| 13 | Aug 29, 2025 | July 2025 | ▲ +0.2% | ▲ +0.3% | ▼ −3.67% | $112,545 → $108,411 | Bitcoin down | 2025 | BEA release |
| 14 | Mar 27, 2020 | February 2020 | ▲ +0.1% | ▲ +0.2% | ▼ −3.67% | $6,716 → $6,470 | Bitcoin down | 2020 | BEA release |
| 15 | Jul 26, 2024 | June 2024 | ▲ +0.1% | ▲ +0.2% | ▲ +3.25% | $65,777 → $67,912 | Bitcoin up | 2024 | BEA release |
PCE price index, month = the change from the preceding month stated in the opening paragraph of each BEA “Personal Income and Outlays” release, as first published; “excluding food and energy” is the same figure without those two categories. A change of less than 0.1% is shown as “<0.1%”.1 Bitcoin, release day = UTC daily close on the release date ÷ the close the day before, minus 1.2 Each of these moves is within 2.2 percentage points of Blockchain.com’s daily average price.3 Bitcoin fell on 46 of the 80 release days and on 6 of the 15 largest. Observed facts, not a forecast.
Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is the BEA’s measure of what households spend, and the PCE price index tracks how the prices of that spending change. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Fed’s rate-setting body, states its 2% goal in terms of this index.12 The release also carries personal income and spending figures, which this page does not rank. For the other inflation reports, see bitcoin on CPI release days and how producer prices have lined up with bitcoin.
The BEA reported that the PCE price index was up 0.4% from the month before in its August 2021 data, and up 0.3% excluding food and energy.4 Bitcoin’s UTC close that day was $48,117, up 9.88% from $43,791.2 The report comes out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, inside that UTC day, and the day also holds other news; the data does not show that the release caused the move.
The BEA reported that the PCE price index was up 0.4% from the month before in its May 2021 data, and up 0.5% excluding food and energy.5 Bitcoin’s UTC close that day was $31,638, down 8.73% from $34,662.2 The report comes out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, inside that UTC day, and the day also holds other news; the data does not show that the release caused the move.
The BEA reported that the PCE price index was up 0.5% from the month before in its March 2021 data, and up 0.4% excluding food and energy.6 Bitcoin’s UTC close that day was $57,750, up 7.83% from $53,555.2 The report comes out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, inside that UTC day, and the day also holds other news; the data does not show that the release caused the move.
The BEA reported that the PCE price index was up 0.6% from the month before in its April 2021 data, and up 0.7% excluding food and energy.7 Bitcoin’s UTC close that day was $35,698, down 7.13% from $38,437.2 The report comes out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, inside that UTC day, and the day also holds other news; the data does not show that the release caused the move.
The BEA reported that the PCE price index was up 0.2% from the month before in its February 2021 data, and up 0.1% excluding food and energy.8 Bitcoin’s UTC close that day was $55,137, up 6.64% from $51,704.2 The report comes out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, inside that UTC day, and the day also holds other news; the data does not show that the release caused the move.
The BEA reported that the PCE price index was down 0.1% from the month before in its July 2022 data, and up 0.1% excluding food and energy.9 Bitcoin’s UTC close that day was $20,260, down 6.21% from $21,601.2 The report comes out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, inside that UTC day, and the day also holds other news; the data does not show that the release caused the move.
The BEA reported that the PCE price index was up 0.5% from the month before in its June 2021 data, and up 0.4% excluding food and energy.10 Bitcoin’s UTC close that day was $42,236, up 5.57% from $40,008.2 The report comes out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, inside that UTC day, and the day also holds other news; the data does not show that the release caused the move.
The BEA reported that the PCE price index was up 0.2% from the month before in its July 2023 data, and up 0.2% excluding food and energy.11 Bitcoin’s UTC close that day was $25,931, down 5.00% from $27,297.2 The report comes out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, inside that UTC day, and the day also holds other news; the data does not show that the release caused the move.
For information only. Not financial advice. See the terms of use.